As Dave Weigel points out on Reason, we've seen predictions of last-second comebacks before. From the AP on Nov. 2, 1988
"Today, the polls are closing, the momentum is our way," [Democratic
Vice Presidential nominee Lloyd Bentsen] told a rally attended by about
2,000 students Tuesday night at Washington University in St. Louis.
The
Republicans think the campaign is over and are "popping those campaign
corks, but I'll tell you on November ninth they're going to have the
worst hangover they've ever had," he said.
As he has been doing
at other stops, Bentsen held over his head a reprint of the 1948
Chicago Tribune which declared, wrongly, "Dewey Defeats Truman."...
[Bentsen
press secretary Mike] McCurry, asked about new national polls sponsored
by news organizations showing double-digit leads for Bush, said, "we
don't necessarily think those are accurate. They are not consistent
with the campaign's own polls," he said.
I had a talk with a good friend, who is a die-hard conservative tied into the national Republican Party. While she still holds out hope for a McCain comeback - she believes that many people who say they are voting for Obama are lying - her demeanor undermined her comments. She's very smart. I think she sees the writing on the wall, but doesn't want to believe it's true.
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